XAUUSD
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History (actual · model input)
First forecast candle
Central scenario
80% range of closes
Expected (median) close
Volatility-aware forecast ranges, updated every 15 minutes and fixed at issue. One engine covers all 37 markets: forex, metals, energy, indices, US stocks and crypto.
The chart opens on the Central scenario: the most representative of the 256 paths, drawn as candles. The dashed line is the expected (median) close and the shaded cone the 80% range; Expected shows the median candles instead. On the price axis pred marks the forming candle's close and exp the expected end close. Every timeframe shows the same forecast.
Predicted end change is the expected close after 48 h against the fixed anchor price (“▲ Bullish +0.4%” = ≈0.4% higher); a move below a tenth of the 80% half-width reads “≈ flat”. End direction is the share of paths ending higher — within ±6% of 50% it is noise and reads “no clear edge”. This candle is the forming candle of the selected timeframe. When the market closes inside the 48 hours, the forecast ends at the close and these numbers refer to its last candle.
The end-close interval spans the 10th to 90th percentile; the cone shows the same 80% range at every candle — the range, not the direction, is where the model has skill. Reaches within is the chance price touches one typical 48 h move up or down, within 48 h or the first 24 h. None of this is the probability of a winning trade.
Forex and metals trade from Sunday evening to Friday night (22:00 UTC in winter, 21:00 in summer); oil and indices also pause every day, and US stocks trade only in the New York session (14:30–21:00 UTC in winter, an hour earlier in summer). Crypto never closes. Closed hours get no candles, so near a close the forecast is shorter: from Thursday afternoon it ends at the weekend close, marked on the chart. A closed market shows “Market closed” until it reopens.
Every market is forecast in its own trading price: exchange rates for forex, US dollars for metals, oil and crypto, points for indices, and CFD prices for US stocks. Some stock CFDs still quote on the scale from before a share split (Amazon and Alphabet ×20, NVIDIA and Netflix ×10, Tesla ×3), so they read higher than the share price; the percentage moves are the same. Prices can differ slightly from your broker's feed.