The direction and size of the model's predicted end-of-horizon close vs the current price. “▲ Bullish +0.4%” means the model expects price ≈0.4% higher at the end of the selected horizon.
Direction (2-day end) is the probability the price sits above today's level in 2 days — all four timeframes cover the same 2 days and are exactly nested, so this endpoint (and the Bias) is identical across them by design. This candle is per-timeframe: the predicted close and direction of the currently forming M15/H1/H4/D1 candle (dashed marker on the chart).
The model's self-estimated uncertainty around its predicted closes, in price units. About 68% of outcomes are expected within ±σ — a smaller σ means a more confident forecast.
Expected is the statistical average path — each candle's direction is ~50/50, so bodies look small. Scenario simulates one realistic path from the same forecast (drift, uncertainty, High–Low band) and always ends at the model's expected close. Summary numbers always come from the model.