XAUUSD

History (actual · model input) Current forming candle Predicted (future) Forecast High–Low range

Community · XAUUSD

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Guidance · how to read the forecast

what the summary numbers and chart views mean
▲▼Bias

The direction and size of the model's predicted end-of-horizon close vs the current price. “▲ Bullish +0.4%” means the model expects price ≈0.4% higher at the end of the selected horizon.

🎯Direction & This candle

Direction (2-day end) is the probability the price sits above today's level in 2 days — all four timeframes cover the same 2 days and are exactly nested, so this endpoint (and the Bias) is identical across them by design. This candle is per-timeframe: the predicted close and direction of the currently forming M15/H1/H4/D1 candle (dashed marker on the chart).

±σConfidence (±σ)

The model's self-estimated uncertainty around its predicted closes, in price units. About 68% of outcomes are expected within ±σ — a smaller σ means a more confident forecast.

🔀Scenario vs Expected

Expected is the statistical average path — each candle's direction is ~50/50, so bodies look small. Scenario simulates one realistic path from the same forecast (drift, uncertainty, High–Low band) and always ends at the model's expected close. Summary numbers always come from the model.

Research tool — model forecasts, not financial advice.