XAUUSD
—
History (actual · model input)
First forecast candle
Predicted (future)
Predicted candle high–low
The direction and size of the model's predicted end-of-horizon close relative to its fixed issue price. “▲ Bullish +0.4%” means the model expects price ≈0.4% higher at the end of the selected horizon.
Direction (2-day end) is the probability the price sits above today's level in 2 days — all four timeframes cover the same 2 days and are exactly nested, so this endpoint (and the Bias) is identical across them by design. This candle is per-timeframe: the predicted close and direction of the currently forming M15/H1/H4/D1 candle (dashed marker on the chart).
The end-close interval spans the model's 10th to 90th percentiles, in price units. Its nominal 80% coverage has not yet been calibrated. It is not an 80% probability of a correct trade.
The chart shows the model's central candle path. H1, H4 and D1 aggregate the same M15 forecast. Candle high–low lines describe the predicted candles; the separate end-close interval describes model uncertainty. Forecasts are estimates, and model probabilities are not historical accuracy rates.